Fort Lauderdale, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

284
FXUS62 KMFL 090522
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
122 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 118 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

05z RTMA analysis indicates that the weak surface frontal boundary
has pushed to the southeast of the region and is now situated just
to the south of our region over the Florida Keys. While flow at the
surface across the region has veered to a northwesterly component,
recent ACARS soundings still indicate a overlying layer of deeper
surface moisture in the 925mb layer that could allow for isolated
shower activity to develop over the next several hours through
daybreak, especially across the far southeastern extent of our
area. 500mb mesoanalysis indicates the trailing synoptic dynamics
aloft (mid- level trough axis) slowly pivoting eastward over the
Florida Panhandle and eastern Gulf early this morning. As winds
aloft shift and become west to west-northwesterly throughout the
course of today, continued dry air advection into the region will
result in a continued decline of rain chances overland. Rain
chances will remain in the 10-20% range along the immediate east
coast of South Florida for the remainder of today. High
temperatures will top out in the upper 70s to low 80s across the
majority of the region with a dewpoint gradient (drier west, more
moist eastward) remaining in place through the afternoon hours.

A dry atmospheric column will remain in place across South Florida
on Thursday with perhaps just enough residual low level boundary
moisture to support the potential of a few showers along the east
coast metro via light to fresh northeasterly onshore flow during the
morning hours. The latest HRRR and other CAMs guidance hint at the
potential of a few inland showers developing during the afternoon
hours and the forecast has been updated accordingly to reflect
this. Winds will veer onshore along both coasts during the
afternoon hours, acting to keep temperatures by the water a few
degrees cooler. With winds slightly stronger on the east coast of
South Florida, a slight temperature gradient will remain during
the afternoon hours with highs in the low 80s across the eastern
half of the region and highs in the mid 80s across inland
southwestern Florida.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 118 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

An expansive and deep mid-level trough will push across the eastern
United States on Friday and into early Saturday morning. At the
surface, a broad area of low pressure will push into the Mid
Atlantic region as Friday progresses. The cold front associated with
this system will gradually push through the Southeast and into
Northern Florida later on Friday. Global and ensemble guidance
remain in relatively good agreement with pushing this front across
the rest of the Florida Peninsula sometime on Friday night into
early Saturday morning. Guidance is also in good agreement in
showing that this will indeed be a weakening frontal boundary as it
pushes through South Florida. In addition, with rather dry air in
place ahead of this front, most of the region will remain dry as it
passes through South Florida on Friday night, however, a slight
chance of showers cannot be completely ruled out right along the
boundary as it passes through

What will be noticeable is the change in sensible weather behind the
front across South Florida for the upcoming weekend. There will be
the potential for a much drier and cooler air mass to build in over
the upcoming weekend as high pressure builds into the region and
cold air advection takes place along an increasing northerly wind
flow. Temperatures will have the possibility of being below
climatological normals heading into the upcoming weekend. In
addition, relative humidity values could drop into the 20s and 30s
during the afternoon hours resulting in a notable lack of humidity
across SoFlo. This will continue to monitored as the week
progresses.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 113 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

NW winds around 10 kts early this morning with SCT to BKN MVFR
ceilings. Scattered showers possible along the east coast, but
chances overall remain low. Brief NE breeze develops this
afternoon along the east coast metro terminals before becoming
light and variable tonight. Skies gradually clearing today with
mainly VFR conditions expected after 00Z tonight with the
exception of PBI, where some SCT MVFR ceilings may persist.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 118 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

Surface winds will remain out of a northwesterly to north direction
throughout the day today before decreasing in strength and shifting
to a northeasterly direction during the day on Thursday. A moderate
northerly swell is forecast to move into the Atlantic waters during
the day on Thursday, which will likely build seas to small craft
advisory levels during that time frame. Outside of a few scattered
showers over the Atlantic waters over the next several days,
conditions will remain mostly dry.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 118 AM EDT Wed Apr 9 2025

The rip current risk will persist along the Gulf beaches today due
to moderate westerly/onshore winds. The rip current risk will then
increase at the Atlantic beaches on Thursday as a combination of
northeasterly winds and a moderate northerly swell impact the
local waters. Surf could become locally elevated on Thursday,
especially along the Palm Beach County coast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            81  66  81  67 /  30  10  20  10
West Kendall     83  62  84  64 /  30  10  20  10
Opa-Locka        82  65  83  66 /  30  20  20  10
Homestead        82  65  83  66 /  30  10  20  10
Fort Lauderdale  79  66  80  67 /  30  20  30  10
N Ft Lauderdale  80  66  80  67 /  30  20  30  10
Pembroke Pines   83  67  85  68 /  30  20  20  10
West Palm Beach  79  66  80  66 /  20  30  30  10
Boca Raton       80  66  81  66 /  30  20  30  10
Naples           80  62  83  65 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hadi
LONG TERM....Hadi
AVIATION...CMF